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Trading Strategies

Long-Short Mean-Reversion Strategy For SPY, QQQ and TLT

A long-short mean-reversion strategy for trading a portfolio of SPY, QQQ, and TLT ETFs.

The strategy rules are available for sale. Contact us for details.

Backtest settings

Timeframe: Daily (adjusted data)
Markets: SPY, QQQ, TLT
Strategy type: Long-short mean-reversion
Maximum positions: 3
Position size:  equity/3
All trades are executed at the open of the next bar
Backtest range: 01/2/2003 –12/31/2024

The strategy is not optimized for the highest annualized return.

Equity curve

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Performance Summary

STRATEGY
CAGR 6.1%
MDD -17.1%
VOLATILITY 9.1%
SHARPE 0.67
TRADES 1112
LONG TRADES 806
SHORT TRADES 306
AVERAGE TRADE 0.38%
PROFIT FACTOR 1.52
WIN RATE 65.5%
AVG. BARS IN TRADE 7.5
EXPOSURE 41.1%

The strategy’s CAGR is 6.1%. The maximum drawdown of the strategy is 17.1%. The Sharpe of the strategy is 0.67. The volatility of the strategy is 9.1%. The average holding period is 7.5 days. The win rate is 65.5%.

Two ETF positions may also be held. In this case, the CAGR increases to 8.8%, but the maximum drawdown and the volatility increase to 22.0% and 12.5%, respectively.

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There have been six down years in the test period, with 2018 down the most at -7.4%. In 2008, the strategy was up 7.9%, and in 2022, it gained 17.9%.

The rules of the strategy are available separately or as part of a bundle of strategies.  Contact us for more details and prices.

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Disclaimer:  No part of the analysis in this blog constitutes a trade recommendation. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Read the full disclaimer here.

Charting and backtesting program: Amibroker. Data provider: Norgate Data

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