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The forecasting model for the stock market generates well-defined entry and exit signals for the SPY ETF. The model does not forecast exact tops and bottoms, but the objective is to minimize losses due to large corrections and maximize gains in uptrends. For the last 32 years, the Sharpe ratio has been 0.73, and the annualized return is 12.7%. We describe the current signal, duration, and strength below.
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Charting and backtesting program: Amibroker. Data provider: Norgate Data
