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Historically, the equally weighted S&P 500 index has outperformed its cap-weighted counterpart by a significant margin. However, last year, this pattern reversed. Is this a short-term development or a regime change? Will small caps stage one of the most spectacular ...

The US dollar and commodities experienced an upward breakout after extensive consolidations. The majority of fundamental and technical analysts regarded both breakouts as improbable. US dollar breakout The US dollar index broke above 108 and closed at 109.65 on Friday, January 10, ...

The performance report for 2024 covers our main three subscription options: Daily Mean-Reversion signals, the Weekly Market Report, the Weekly Market Signals, and the monthly Dynamic Momentum and Hybrid Asset allocation signals. Daily mean-reversion signals With SPY and QQQ ETFs, the 2024 ...

After 2013, the “Santa Rally” calendar effect vanished, probably because Santa has gone online and is also involved with crypto. Below is a chart of the market’s performance (S&P 500 Index) in the last three days of the year plus the ...

We frequently use randomization studies as a benchmark to evaluate market and trading dynamics. The results for 2024 confirm what we already knew: long traders profited and short traders faced large losses on average. In the randomization studies, we use daily ...

Holiday specials for premium content, strategies, and software. Save up to 40%. Price Action Lab Blog Wishes You A Happy New Year 2025! Selected subscription plans* are 20% off with coupon code “2025”     *Valid for All in One, Market Signals, Premium Articles, and ...

The chicken or egg causality dilemma raises a few intriguing questions about the impact of forecasts on market performance. Below are some thoughts. Near the end of every year, we always hear about forecasts for the next year, mainly for the ...

Since 1911, a losing streak of 9 or more days in the Dow Jones Industrial Average has occurred 26 times. Below are charts and statistics. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) last confirmed a 9-day losing streak on February 22, 1978. As ...

We present a quantitative measure of the relative potential of markets for relief rallies. Relief rallies usually occur during bear markets and can last from one to several days. Short covering typically triggers these rallies. The drivers could include news or ...

Despite lower returns since its inception, the crypto coin’s price has more than doubled this year. The momentum is due to a combination of politics and marketing that feed cognitive biases. This is the recipe for a bubble market. On January ...