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On October 31, 2023, the S&P 500 closed below its 12-month moving average, but the SPY ETF closed above its 12-month moving average.  Which is better to use for momentum signals? The ETF or the index?

We tested the performance of the Benner Cycle and also examined its philosophical underpinnings. Is the cycle the “sure thing”, as its inventor claimed, or an illusion? How is the profitability of market analysis tools changing over time?

Equity investors face losses from large corrections and bear markets. Hedging the risks has become challenging in recent years due to market regime changes.

Although traders and investors use simple timing functions to exit the stock market before a large correction, a particular choice can make a difference. Access to the full report requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

The primary reason the Fed is reluctant to lower rates is not a possible resurge in inflation. Access to the report requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

Extreme equity market moves have a low probability, but it is higher than what the normal distribution predicts. Here are five schemes traders and investors can use to deal with the next equity market collapse.

It is a contradiction, but it appears to be the position of some CTAs, who do not like the Sharpe ratio but like their risk-adjusted returns. Passive equity investors respond to those who dismiss the value of the Sharpe ratio by ...

A significant divergence between two ETFs in related markets could present an opportunity for a pairs trade if normalization starts. Access to the article requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

One of the strategies that have turned into unmitigated disasters was proposed in a popular Twitter Space, while another one has been popular with those who were expecting a recession. The third one came with an ETF. Access to the ...

Along with the excessive use of trendlines, chart patterns, dual-axis, and ratio charts, any references to market correlations can serve as a good indicator of financial literacy. Access to the full report requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.