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  • Free Volatility Strategy For Subscribers [Premium Articles] March 7, 2018

    We do not offer a volatility strategy signal service due to the high risk of ruin. Here is a free strategy for trading ZIV and VXX along with measures of risk and comparison to our SPY MR5 mean-reversion strategy. As we ...

  • Hurst Exponent Update [Premium Articles] January 30, 2018

    This is an update on the status of this important indicator. For more details about the Hurst indicator and its significance you may search the article in this blog. The important take is that low values of this exponent in S&P ...

  • No Free Lunch In Portfolio Allocation January 23, 2018

    There is no free lunch in portfolio allocation as any scheme that reduces the impact of adverse market conditions also adversely affects returns in bull markets.

  • Weekly RSI(14) On S&P 500 Chart [Premium Articles] January 17, 2018

    Charts appeared in financial blogosphere after the all-time high in the index on Friday, January 12, 2018, that show the highest level in weekly or even monthly RSI(14) in more than 100 years in S&P 500. Do these charts make ...

  • Market And Trading Leverage Levels [Premium Articles] January 10, 2018

    In this article we compare current market and trading leverage levels in S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 to levels before major corrections. Results are interesting. One measure of the optimal leverage (Edward O. Thorp), also known as Kelly leverage, is given as ...

  • Momersion Anomaly [Premium Articles] January 5, 2018

    This article includes a review of the Momersion anomaly and stocks that exhibit high tendency of mean-reversion to the upside. The Momersion indicator was introduced in this article. This indicator measures momentum and mean-reversion tendency. If the value is above 50, ...

  • There Is No Edge In This Hype [Premium Articles] December 27, 2017

    There is no edge in this hype about the stock market. More details are included below. As the year end is getting closer, there is hype and statistics about a rally in stocks. As the chart of the S&P 500 since ...

  • Typical Tweet That Shows Lack Of Understanding Of Markets [Premium Articles] December 19, 2017

    This is a typical tweet that shows lack of understanding of markets and technical analysis. These tweets are very common. I just saw this tweet this morning: https://twitter.com/HumbleStudent/status/942986069804568576 These breadth indicators measure momentum, not overbought conditions. Overbought is assumed in the sense of ...

  • Traders Fail When They Listen To What Failed Traders Have To Say December 15, 2017

    Traders fail for many reasons but a common one is that they listen to failed traders.

  • This Edge Survived in 2017 [Premium Articles] December 14, 2017

    This is a very simple edge based on a seasonality anomaly that has survived 2017 markets although performance in the last three months is flat.