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  • An Answer to a Question About Stock Markets Returns in 2024 [Premium Articles] January 4, 2024

    A subscriber asked an interesting question about the stock market returns in 2024. I wrote some code, and I included the answer below. Read this article with a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription. By subscribing, you have immediate access to hundreds of ...

  • Market Signals-January 2, 2024 [Premium Signals] December 30, 2023

    Market summary, open positions, new signals, and performance of six trading strategies with weekly rebalancing. Tactical asset allocation, mean-reversion, cross-sectional momentum, commodity trend-following, and equity long-short. Access the full report with a Market Signals or All-in-One subscription.

  • Market Signals-December 26, 2023 [Premium Signals] December 23, 2023

    Market summary, open positions, new signals, and performance of six trading strategies with weekly rebalancing. Tactical asset allocation, mean-reversion, cross-sectional momentum, commodity trend-following, and equity long-short. Access the full report with a Market Signals or All-in-One subscription.

  • An Update on Two Pair Trades For 2024 [Premium Articles] December 18, 2023

    An update on two pair trades, which offer higher odds of delivering profits in 2024. Access requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

  • Momentum Signals With SPY ETF And S&P 500 Index November 1, 2023

    On October 31, 2023, the S&P 500 closed below its 12-month moving average, but the SPY ETF closed above its 12-month moving average.  Which is better to use for momentum signals? The ETF or the index?

  • The Benner Cycle: Sure Thing or an Illusion? October 30, 2023

    We tested the performance of the Benner Cycle and also examined its philosophical underpinnings. Is the cycle the “sure thing”, as its inventor claimed, or an illusion? How is the profitability of market analysis tools changing over time?

  • Protecting Equity Portfolios During Times of Uncertainty October 26, 2023

    Equity investors face losses from large corrections and bear markets. Hedging the risks has become challenging in recent years due to market regime changes.

  • The Choice of a Timing Function Makes A Difference [Premium Articles] October 4, 2023

    Although traders and investors use simple timing functions to exit the stock market before a large correction, a particular choice can make a difference. Access to the full report requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

  • Special Report: Why Is The Fed Keeping Interest Rates High? [Premium Articles] September 21, 2023

    The primary reason the Fed is reluctant to lower rates is not a possible resurge in inflation. Access to the report requires a Premium Articles or All-in-One subscription.

  • Dealing With The Next Equity Market Collapse [Premium Articles] September 15, 2023

    Extreme equity market moves have a low probability, but it is higher than what the normal distribution predicts. Here are five schemes traders and investors can use to deal with the next equity market collapse.